Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.005273 0.005568 0.005874 0.006214 0.006583 0.006972 0.007414
2025-12-14 0.004763 0.005193 0.005658 0.006201 0.006821 0.007512 0.008344
2025-12-21 0.004326 0.004810 0.005350 0.006000 0.006768 0.007655 0.008768
2025-12-28 0.004113 0.004649 0.005261 0.006018 0.006941 0.008042 0.009475
2026-01-04 0.003969 0.004551 0.005229 0.006089 0.007165 0.008487 0.010271
2026-01-11 0.003789 0.004396 0.005115 0.006044 0.007232 0.008732 0.010816
2026-01-18 0.003649 0.004278 0.005035 0.006031 0.007333 0.009015 0.011422
2026-01-25 0.003507 0.004148 0.004932 0.005979 0.007372 0.009212 0.011916
2026-02-01 0.003455 0.004128 0.004962 0.006097 0.007639 0.009726 0.012888
2026-02-08 0.003347 0.004031 0.004889 0.006072 0.007707 0.009965 0.013474
2026-02-15 0.003257 0.003953 0.004834 0.006066 0.007798 0.010238 0.014128
2026-02-22 0.003142 0.003836 0.004724 0.005979 0.007767 0.010329 0.014502
2026-03-01 0.003036 0.003729 0.004624 0.005903 0.007751 0.010443 0.014926
2026-03-08 0.002961 0.003660 0.004573 0.005892 0.007827 0.010698 0.015600
2026-03-15 0.002827 0.003508 0.004403 0.005705 0.007632 0.010527 0.015545
2026-03-22 0.002774 0.003463 0.004377 0.005723 0.007743 0.010833 0.016326
2026-03-29 0.002740 0.003444 0.004385 0.005788 0.007929 0.011268 0.017368
2026-04-05 0.002673 0.003375 0.004322 0.005746 0.007944 0.011427 0.017926
2026-04-12 0.002619 0.003323 0.004280 0.005735 0.008007 0.011665 0.018648
2026-04-19 0.002556 0.003257 0.004216 0.005686 0.008006 0.011795 0.019176
2026-04-26 0.002546 0.003264 0.004257 0.005796 0.008265 0.012383 0.020656
2026-05-03 0.002495 0.003213 0.004211 0.005772 0.008304 0.012591 0.021390
2026-05-10 0.002453 0.003172 0.004179 0.005767 0.008373 0.012854 0.022264